Sunday, January 30, 2011

Volitale Markets- Neutral Nick updated

With the volitale markets we seen lately Mr Neutral Nick had to update his positon and add some more trades. 

He sold 12 of the 11.00 July Wheat calls, Sold 10 of the July 13.60 Soybean Puts, and Sold 27 of the July 8.00 Corn calls.  These all get him very close to his goal of staying 100,000 bushels delta equavilant short. 

Below is the updated
 table including the above trades. 

The one good thing Neutral Nick has going is if we can trade sideways over the next several months he has a good shot to add a million dollars to his bottom line.  Presently it is projected that any spot within about 1.60 range of todays prices (80 cents higher or lower) he adds a little over 1 million or roughly 3.00 a bushel on his 300,000 bushels of mixed commodities. 


The other very interesting thing out there is the fact that all of his positions presently open for corn are ahead (other then the one placed today based on previous close as that shows zero gain or loss).  This helps show time value working in his favor as he typicall sells options.

Long# ofOptionMy TradeOption PricePosition EquivalentProfits (Losses)
or ShortContractsSymbolDatePriceLastDeltaDelta (bu)Gamma (bu)Theta / DayActual
SHORT60.00WN1000C23-Dec-201049.250 50.750 (0.36) (107,599) (465) $909  ($4,500)
SHORT25.00WN700P23-Dec-201037.875 16.250 0.14  17,517  (136) $193  $27,031
SHORT10.00WN900C23-Dec-201073.500 80.000 (0.50) (25,210) (86) $154  ($3,250)
SHORT2.00WN850C23-Dec-201089.125 99.875 (0.59) (5,888) (17) $29  ($1,075)
SHORT2.00WH770P5-Jan-201127.375 7.000 0.18  1,838  (39) $47  $2,038
SHORT3.00WH730C7-Jan-201168.125 97.500 (0.92) (13,776) (20) $38  ($4,406)
SHORT2.00WN900C12-Jan-201166.625 80.000 (0.50) (5,042) (17) $31  ($1,338)
SHORT20.00WH750P19-Jan-201113.875 3.625 0.11  10,891  (277) $325  $10,250
SHORT12.00WN800P21-Jan-201158.750 50.125 0.31  18,662  (97) $156  $5,175
SHORT30.00WN1100C26-Jan-201139.250 31.375 (0.25) (36,882) (192) $393  $11,813
LONG30.00WH870C26-Jan-201125.000 12.625 0.29  43,558  711  ($986) ($18,563)
SHORT10.00WN800P26-Jan-201142.500 50.125 0.31  15,551  (81) $130  ($3,813)
SHORT12.00WN1100C28-Jan-201131.375 (0.25) (14,753) (77) $157
218.00(0.09) (101,133) (794) $1,578  $19,363
SHORT5.00SH1300P29-Dec-201034.500 3.125 0.09  2,174  (51) $79  $7,844
SHORT40.00SN1500C23-Dec-201082.500 66.500 (0.40) (80,326) (301) $667  $32,000
SHORT50.00SN1200P23-Dec-201042.500 17.000 0.14  33,993  (237) $426  $63,750
SHORT30.00SN1600C23-Dec-201062.000 44.250 (0.29) (43,093) (188) $469  $26,625
SHORT2.00SH1450C5-Jan-201143.500 13.250 (0.27) (2,737) (41) $71  $3,025
SHORT4.00SH1300C7-Jan-201193.875 101.125 (0.90) (18,001) (37) $68  ($1,450)
SHORT15.00SH1300P12-Jan-201113.125 3.125 0.09  6,521  (154) $236  $7,500
SHORT5.00SH1360P12-Jan-201130.500 14.250 0.29  7,342  (114) $171  $4,063
SHORT2.00SN1400P21-Jan-201188.875 88.375 0.44  4,394  (16) $32  $50
SHORT25.00SN1500C26-Jan-201167.250 66.500 (0.40) (50,203) (188) $417  $938
SHORT15.00SN1300P26-Jan-201148.500 41.500 0.27  20,369  (108) $192  $5,250
SHORT10.00SN1360P28-Jan-201167.125 0.37  18,634  (80) $150
203.00(0.10) (100,933) (1,516) $2,979  $149,594
SHORT6.00CH680C29-Dec-201020.000 7.625 (0.26) (7,744) (191) $131  $3,713
SHORT55.00CN800C23-Dec-201030.750 24.000 (0.26) (72,519) (529) $517  $18,563
SHORT30.00CN550P23-Dec-201037.250 15.875 0.18  26,530  (260) $197  $32,063
SHORT35.00CH700C23-Dec-201016.500 4.000 (0.16) (27,189) (826) $559  $21,875
SHORT2.00CH680C5-Jan-201118.500 7.625 (0.26) (2,581) (64) $44  $1,088
SHORT5.00CH660C7-Jan-201115.375 12.750 (0.39) (9,679) (196) $124  $656
SHORT2.00CN500P7-Jan-201120.875 7.000 0.09  907  (11) $8  $1,388
SHORT22.00CN630P21-Jan-201147.875 47.000 0.37  41,079  (263) $221  $963
SHORT10.00CN800C26-Jan-201128.000 24.000 (0.26) (13,185) (96) $94  $2,000
SHORT27.00CN800C28-Jan-201124.000 (0.26) (35,600) (260) $254

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