Wednesday, September 19, 2012
Mid Morning Update 9-19-2012
Around 9:15 we have markets bouncing after the melt down the past couple of sessions. Presently corn is up 7, beans are up 21, KC wheat is 14 higher, MPLS wheat is up 14, and CBOT wheat is up 14. The dollar is slightly weaker down a little over 100 ticks, equities are bouncing slightly with the DOW up 36 points, but crude is getting smacked down 2.50 a barrel.
We will have ethanol numbers at 9:30 and they could effect the market or at least help give us a better idea on the demand side of things.
Harvest seems to be going full steam ahead with no real weather issues anywhere this is adding to the selling pressure and has been one of the headlines the past couple of days for weakness.
Appear to have a little end user pricing the past couple days on the break; which is a good thing.
Our biggest risk going forward is still the fund position; they are still loaded up and liquidation could continue to cause pressure.
Watch next week’s stock’s report and small grains report to see if it is a major market mover.
Wheat basis feels firmer today while corn basis feels a little defensive.
From what I am hearing many of our export competitors selling wheat in the world haven’t exactly followed our price break the past couple of days. Bottom line we are getting close to getting some US Wheat export business.
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